PolicyForecast cell on a law-encoded policy parameter.

Top individual income tax rate, TY2027

What will the top federal individual income tax marginal rate be for tax year 2027?

current forecast · 80% CI37.0%
37.0%37.0%39.6%
history:Pre-TCJA: 39.6%TY2018: 37.0%TY2024: 37.0%TY2025: 37.0%

static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value

Key drivers

  • TCJA rate extension
  • Revenue needs in budget package
  • High-income tax politics
  • Surtax substitution

Resolution

source
Internal Revenue Code and IRS tax tables
expected
December 31, 2027
rule
Resolves to the highest statutory federal individual income tax marginal rate applicable for TY2027, excluding surtaxes such as NIIT or Medicare taxes.
Policy parameter
gov.irs.income.bracket.rates.top.2027

Analyst agent · reasoning trace

static mock
Static mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming

§

§

axiom.queryqueued

The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.

More policy forecasts