Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.

Uninsured rate (under 65), 2026

What will the uninsured rate among the U.S. population under 65 be for calendar year 2026, as published in the Census ASEC?

current forecast · 80% CI10.1%
9.2%10.1%11.2%
history:2021: 9.6%2022: 8.6%2023: 8.0%2024: 8.2%2025e: 8.9%

static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value

Key drivers

  • ACA enhanced subsidy status
  • Medicaid unwinding completion
  • Employer-sponsored coverage trajectory
  • ACA marketplace enrollment

Resolution

source
Census ASEC health insurance report
expected
September 15, 2027
rule
Resolves to the uninsured rate (any point during the year) for the population under 65 as published in the Census ASEC health insurance coverage report covering CY2026.
Data point
census.asec.uninsured_rate_under_65.2026

Analyst agent · reasoning trace

static mock
Static mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming

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policyengine.simulatequeued
policyengine.simulatequeued
cbo.lookupqueued

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The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.

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