Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.

Pell Grant recipients, award year 2027-28

How many students will receive a Federal Pell Grant during award year 2027-28?

current forecast · 80% CI7.2M
6.4M7.2M8.2M
history:AY2020: 6.2MAY2022: 6.1MAY2024e: 6.8MAY2026e: 7M

static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value

Key drivers

  • FAFSA simplification take-up
  • Maximum Pell award and eligibility formula
  • College enrollment
  • Student income distribution

Resolution

source
U.S. Department of Education Pell Grant Program data
expected
February 28, 2029
rule
Resolves to unduplicated Federal Pell Grant recipients for award year 2027-28, in millions, using the first official Department of Education Pell Grant program data table or budget justification table with final award-year recipients.
Data point
ed.pell.recipients.award_year_2027

Analyst agent · reasoning trace

static mock
Static mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming

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education.lookupqueued
policyengine.simulatequeued

The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.

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