Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Labor force participation rate, December 2026
What will the seasonally-adjusted civilian labor force participation rate be for December 2026 as published in the BLS Employment Situation release?
current forecast · 80% CI62.4%
61.9%62.4%62.8%
history:Dec 2022: 62.3%Dec 2023: 62.5%Dec 2024: 62.6%Dec 2025: 62.5%
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
Key drivers
- Prime-age participation trend
- 55+ retirement timing
- Immigration-adjusted denominator
- Disability and long-COVID trends
Resolution
- source
- BLS Employment Situation
- expected
- January 9, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to the first-print seasonally-adjusted civilian labor force participation rate for December 2026 (BLS series LNS11300000).
- Data point
- bls.lns11300000.2026-12
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming
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The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.