Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Federal individual income tax revenue, FY2027
What will total federal individual income tax revenue be for fiscal year 2027 in nominal dollars, as published in the Monthly Treasury Statement?
current forecast · 80% CI$2,740
$2,580$2,740$2,910
history:FY2023: $2,176FY2024: $2,426FY2025e: $2,520FY2026e: $2,640
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
Key drivers
- TCJA extension status
- Capital gains realizations
- Nominal income growth
- Withholding vs. nonwithheld mix
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Treasury Monthly Statement (final September FY2027)
- expected
- October 20, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to total individual income tax receipts for FY2027 as reported in the Monthly Treasury Statement covering September 2027, in billions of nominal dollars.
- Data point
- treasury.mts.individual_income_tax.fy2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming
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The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.