Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
EITC claimant returns, TY2027
How many individual income tax returns will claim the Earned Income Tax Credit for tax year 2027?
current forecast · 80% CI23.4M
21.6M23.4M25.5M
history:TY2019: 25MTY2021: 27.5MTY2023e: 23MTY2025e: 23.2M
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
Key drivers
- Low-wage employment
- EITC parameter indexation
- Filing and take-up rates
- Dependent-child claiming patterns
Resolution
- source
- IRS Statistics of Income individual tax return data
- expected
- December 31, 2029
- rule
- Resolves to the number of TY2027 individual income tax returns claiming the Earned Income Tax Credit, in millions, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income table covering TY2027 individual returns.
- Data point
- irs.soi.eitc_claimant_returns.ty2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming
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▸ irs.lookupqueued
▸ policyengine.simulatequeued
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.