Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Child and dependent care credit returns, TY2026
How many individual income tax returns will claim the federal child and dependent care credit for tax year 2026?
current forecast · 80% CI5.9M
5M5.9M7M
history:TY2019: 6.3MTY2020: 5.6MTY2021: 6.5MTY2023e: 5.8M
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
Key drivers
- Child care use among working parents
- Credit generosity and phaseout
- Filing and documentation behavior
- Labor force participation of parents
Resolution
- source
- IRS Statistics of Income individual tax return data
- expected
- December 31, 2028
- rule
- Resolves to the number of TY2026 individual income tax returns claiming the federal child and dependent care credit, in millions, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income individual income tax table that reports this credit.
- Data point
- irs.soi.child_dependent_care_credit_returns.ty2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming
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▸ irs.lookupqueued
▸ policyengine.simulatequeued
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.