Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
CPI-U annual average inflation, 2026
What will the annual average percent change in CPI-U for calendar year 2026 (vs. 2025 annual average) be, as published by BLS?
current forecast · 80% CI2.6%
2.1%2.6%3.2%
history:2022: 8.0%2023: 4.1%2024: 2.9%2025e: 2.7%
opening live stream
Key drivers
- Shelter disinflation trajectory
- Goods price pass-through from tariffs
- Wage growth and unit labor costs
- Energy prices
Resolution
- source
- BLS CPI-U release
- expected
- January 15, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to the percent change in CPI-U annual average for 2026 over 2025 (BLS series CUUR0000SA0, annual average), first-published value.
- Data point
- bls.cpi.u.annual_pct_change.2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
streamingLive API pathThis cell is opening a server-sent reasoning stream. If the API is unavailable, the page falls back to the static mock trace.
opening live stream
Opening live analyst stream…
Live mode queries BLS CPI-U data, computes an audit-ready data summary, and calls the forecast model when AI Gateway credentials are available. If the API fails, the page replays the static trace.