Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
ACA exchange plan selections, OEP 2027
How many Qualified Health Plans will be selected through ACA exchanges during the 2027 Open Enrollment Period?
current forecast · 80% CI19.8M
14M19.8M25M
history:OEP 2023: 16.4MOEP 2024: 21.4MOEP 2025: 24.2MOEP 2026: 23M
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
Key drivers
- Enhanced premium tax credit status
- Benchmark-premium growth
- Auto-renewal policy
- Medicaid churn into exchange coverage
Resolution
- source
- CMS Health Insurance Exchanges Open Enrollment report
- expected
- April 30, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to total Qualified Health Plan selections across HealthCare.gov and state-based exchanges during the 2027 Open Enrollment Period, in millions, using the first final CMS Open Enrollment report for plan year 2027.
- Data point
- cms.aca.exchange_qhp_selections.oep_2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
analyst agent streaming
§
§
▸ policyengine.simulatequeued
▸ policyengine.simulatequeued
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.